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Comment by networked

17 hours ago

I cannot tell what negative-sum outcomes you consider possible. Do you believe AI can drive humans extinct? How many of Zvi Mowshowitz's Three AI Pills would you say you've taken?

https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-three-ai-pills

I’m like a 2(.5?) there - I don’t think ASI will care about my kids better than I will for some definitions of better, for instance, and I feel very fuzzy and vague about what actual differences in qualia between me and ASI would yield in the wild.

I’m not a doomer, although I don’t think doomers are dumb, just wrong. I think you should design your systems around the possibility that people who disagree with you are correct , hence my nod to negative sum. If you have more than 30 years to live, I’d personally rep to the most likely outcomes being very positive. With a lot of disruption in the middle.