Comment by counters
13 hours ago
There is little to no evidence that the current degradation of the US upper air backbone is regularly contributing to degraded forecast skill. That might change as we head into the more active northern hemisphere winter.
That's because NOAA are not doing the tests that would produce such evidence.
They are, as are plenty of folks in the community. I expect to see some good talks on this at the AMS Annual Meeting in January, based solely on my own peer network and what colleagues have mentioned they're working on.
There was a lot of evidence last winter. But with the active El Niño it’s starting earlier this year.
Please share some of that evidence.