Comment by adverbly
16 hours ago
> will soon far surpass that of humans
To be fair, I think it's still an open question about how far it might surpass human capabilities.
I think it's clear that its speed of development will be significantly faster, but it's technically not proven that the frontier and problems don't themselves become increasingly difficult faster than any acceleration in intelligence past the point of human training, data and existing knowledge.
Should this be the case, we would see a rapid broadening of development, and a slow advance in the frontier in such a way that might surpass the collective capabilities of people, but not by very far.
Fields that allow verification, like math, will far surpass human level because they don't need human data for training. It's exactly the same as with Chess
> It's exactly the same as with Chess
I think you might be missing my point.
My point is that you are probably correct but it is not proven.
If the field that requires verification has an increase in difficulty which exceeds the increase in intelligence, than the capabilities might surpass human months but not by far.
For example, we saw a rapid decrease in space exploration progress after the discovery of the Moon because it is much much more difficult to get to Mars compared to the Moon. What we don't know is what the frontier looks like. It may have a gradual ramp up in difficulty, but it might also involve some sort of cliffs which even artificial intelligence is unable to climb.
How do you verify the ‚beauty‘ of a result. There have always been infinite provable Theorems around. Only some are interesting and beautiful.