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Comment by ben_w

7 hours ago

Renewables growth is so fast that it will exceed 100% of electricity in the early, and 100% of all form power in the late, 2030s.

It's the meat methane and cement CO2 that's now a big question.

I think your prediction is a bit early. Maybe a decade early. 2033 is 7 years away. The transition is happening really fast, faster than most people (or political leaders) know, but not that fast.

We will hit 1TW per year of new solar soon, but to get to 100% electricity by the end of 2033 I think we would need closer to 3TW per year.

  • Exponential growth curve has yet to flatten; but you do also need to account for capacity factor, which is different between wind and PV.