Comment by mplanchard
4 hours ago
> If the experts can't even agree on what's happening "inside of" these LLMs, how can they give laypeople an assessment of the risk?
The answer, if you are a responsible expert in the field, is to convey the range of possibilities and the uncertainty.
Isn't that what they're doing? "There's a better than 0 chance this thing could kill everyone in the next decade."
That might be too imprecise for the HN set but it's realistic for laypeople.
And none of the AI people talking about the risk are running into rooms full of people telling them Claude has gone mad and yelling at them to disconnect from the internet and turn off their devices immediately.