Comment by henrymerrilees

A key facet of the suggested risk is that these programs would attempt to mask whatever behavior would bring about the end of the world. A world in which AI doom could be detected before it’s too late and stopped by metaphorically running into rooms full of people telling people to unplug is less extreme than that in which doomers argue we are already living.

Alarm takes severity and scale. Forecasting double-digit odds of near-term human extinction on national television to a lay audience is more extreme than yelling to unplug rogue AI. For what it’s worth, the latter has already occurred numerous times at containable scales in leading labs, mitigated by the physical realities of computation, notwithstanding the competence of involved personnel. People running into rooms yelling is probably not a hypothetical.