Comment by shric
10 hours ago
> so it should possible to see these LLMs relative to a human 1500 rather than just relative to each other
As a 1500 elo human I can tell you that a 1500 elo chess engine doesn't play like anything like a 1500 elo human.
This is true, but I'm not sure it matters? I was poking around at the lichess database recently and those elo calibrated bots are remarkably well calibrated, their rating variance sticks out like a sore thumb compared to human players even at similar game volumes. So it should still be a decent predictor of how good a human at that level is, even if the playstyle seems alien.
I feel like every position is in the database so you could just lookup the most popular move for an arbitrary elo and that's the bot.