Comment by saghm
14 hours ago
I don't really have any opinion on your tone; I just still don't agree with your framing. A lack of evidence would be neutral like "there's no evidence to indicate either possibility is more likely", but your phrasing conveyed that one possibility was more likely than the other. I pushed back against your follow-up because it seemed like you were arguing for a higher threshold of evidence than you provided.
Well, to be fair, you're correct. I am asking for a higher threshold of evidence. It's a stronger claim. I feel a stronger claim deserves stronger evidence.
I guess that's where we disagree. I feel like either claim is equally hard to falsify from the outside (partially because I've never had much confidence in my ability to spot whether text is from an LLM outside of the most glaringly obvious cases, and likewise don't have any clue whether people who have high confidence are accurate or deluding themselves).