For now. One more ternary model type breakthrough, or MoE, engram thing (I don't fully understand those for the record, I just know they speed things up and use less VRAM) could see a few GB sized weights with quite the capabilities. On a gaming PC, savvy teens can already use them to cook up quite an interesting array of likely illegal items and substances. If it goes much further and runs on phones, you can assume word will get around that unlimited private AI is available and kids will run into all sorts of issues. Or mentally unwell people. I'm thinking a year or two down the line only.
They're pretty basic and hallucinate a lot. There are some hard limits to how good you can get on a model that fits on a phone.
Qwen3 and Gemma level models that run on mid-high end laptops and desktops can be pretty good. Not frontier grade, but shockingly competent for something that runs on a single PC. But the hardware you need to run those fast is at least $1000-$2000. Cheap hardware can run them, but slooooooow.
Hardware restrictions aren't restrictive for criminal organizations.
For now. One more ternary model type breakthrough, or MoE, engram thing (I don't fully understand those for the record, I just know they speed things up and use less VRAM) could see a few GB sized weights with quite the capabilities. On a gaming PC, savvy teens can already use them to cook up quite an interesting array of likely illegal items and substances. If it goes much further and runs on phones, you can assume word will get around that unlimited private AI is available and kids will run into all sorts of issues. Or mentally unwell people. I'm thinking a year or two down the line only.
Oh no, some run on iPhones
They're pretty basic and hallucinate a lot. There are some hard limits to how good you can get on a model that fits on a phone.
Qwen3 and Gemma level models that run on mid-high end laptops and desktops can be pretty good. Not frontier grade, but shockingly competent for something that runs on a single PC. But the hardware you need to run those fast is at least $1000-$2000. Cheap hardware can run them, but slooooooow.
And then you've got the local "Wan2GP" setups "for the GPU-Poor".
Also tried the "Locally Uncensored" setup on a 3060 laptop, which worked surprisingly well.
You can still lease GPU farm in many "easy" countries.