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Comment by triceratops

21 hours ago

> China is “greening” but we should be skeptical that it’s out of some lofty moral goal

Why does the "why" matter? Tons of carbon are tons of carbon, right? That's what people say when you tell them about per-capita emissions.

> they wouldn’t be hoarding the production of rare earth minerals and would be freely giving away technology for the sake of the planet.

You can freely buy as many cheap panels and batteries and EVs and heat pumps from China as you like (unless your country is stupid enough to tariff or ban them). Those come with minerals. When they reach end-of-life they can be recycled.

What exactly are they "hoarding" that the planet needs to go green? It hasn't prevented Pakistan or Vietnam from going ham on PV deployment.

> Why does the "why" matter?

Well it doesn’t entirely matter but we should just acknowledge that it’s a geopolitical strategy and not really something they are doing for the planet.

> You can freely buy as many cheap panels and batteries and EVs and heat pumps from China as you like (unless your country is stupid enough to tariff or ban them). Those come with minerals. When they reach end-of-life they can be recycled. What exactly are they "hoarding" that the planet needs to go green? It hasn't prevented Pakistan or Vietnam from going ham on PV deployment.

Are you unfamiliar with China’s restrictions on rare earth exports for example due to alleged “dual use” as they continue to apply military pressure on democratic Taiwan? I’d encourage you to read up on these restrictions with respect to Japan for example who is alarmed by Chinese and North Korean provocations.

You can buy so many cheap panels practically only from China because they subsidized the industry so other countries couldn’t compete and build their own solar panels. For some these tariffs and bans are responses to these anti-competitive strategies. It’s not just the US, by the way. The EU is tariffing China too.

They are entitled to pursue these strategies but we are also entitled in the west to recognize them and combat them how we see fit.

  • > not really something they are doing for the planet

    If it doesn't matter why do you feel the need to acknowledge it?

    > Are you unfamiliar with China’s restrictions on rare earth exports [to Japan] for example due to alleged “dual use”

    How do these restrictions prevent Japan from using Chinese PV and batteries in their grid?

    > You can buy so many cheap panels practically only from China because they subsidized the industry

    Translation: they gave the world a ton of deeply discounted goods. And you said they didn't do anything nice for anyone!

    > so other countries couldn’t compete and build their own solar panels

    Other countries are free to subsidize their own solar and battery industries. Godspeed to the ones doing it right now. But also is it really that amazing an industry to have? Low-margins, constant price wars, undifferentiated commodity product without much of a moat. Rich economies tend not to have those industries anyway.

    > For some these tariffs and bans are responses to these anti-competitive strategies

    Surely then the US must be approving solar projects at record pace then? And wind too?

    > The EU is tariffing China too.

    There are no EU tariffs on Chinese solar panels or grid-scale batteries or heat pumps. They are considering tariffing heat pumps right now.

    • > If it doesn't matter why do you feel the need to acknowledge it?

      Just to make sure nobody is ever confused. Why do you feel the need to defend China?

      > How do these restrictions prevent Japan from using Chinese PV and batteries in their grid?

      It limits Japan from developing their own home grown market or utilizing technology for what China considers dual use?

      > Translation: they gave the world a ton of deeply discounted goods. And you said they didn't do anything nice for anyone!

      Other translation: Those cheap goods weren’t worth the cost to the environment or to empower an autocratic regime.

      > Other countries are free to subsidize their own solar and battery industries.

      When that happens there can be retaliatory measures against countries who are in for example the WTO or have other trade agreements. You don’t just subsidize products in a vacuum.

      > Godspeed to the ones doing it right now. But also is it really that amazing an industry to have? Low-margins, constant price wars, undifferentiated commodity product without much of a moat. Rich economies tend not to have those industries anyway.

      You’re focusing on solar panels but that’s not all we’ve been discussing.

      > Surely then the US must be approving solar projects at record pace then? And wind too?

      That doesn’t follow from what you quoted.

      > There are no EU tariffs on Chinese solar panels or grid-scale batteries or heat pumps. They are considering tariffing heat pumps right now.

      They are tariffing other products/industries and working on additional ones.

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