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Comment by triceratops

9 hours ago

> Just to make sure nobody is ever confused.

That a country is acting in its own interests? I don't think that's news.

> Why do you feel the need to defend China?

I think climate change is the biggest problem of our lifetime. China's output of green tech is our best chance. I think useful idiots for the fossil fuel industry demonize China to transitively discredit renewables (i.e. not for "lofty moral reasons" like democracy). There's a genuine double standard.

> It limits Japan from developing their own home grown market

Drill deeper. How does this prevent Japan from "greening" today? That's the topic we're discussing.

> or utilizing technology for what China considers dual use?

Why can't Japan source "dual use" rare earths from somewhere else? They aren't actually that rare. Japan could invest in mines and processing facilities in Africa or the US or Canada.

> Those cheap goods weren’t worth the cost to the environment

Cheap, abundant PV and batteries that can decarbonize the world? I'm ok with localized damage to one country's environment, done voluntarily, for that. Climate change will wreck the global environment.

> empower an autocratic regime

Describes most oil-producing countries. This is virtue signalling.

> there can be retaliatory measures against countries who are in for example the WTO

How did China do it then?

> You’re focusing on solar panels but that’s not all we’ve been discussing.

Ok what else then? You want battery manufacturing? Motors? Has China somehow restricted countries from building their own industries?

> > Surely then the US must be approving solar projects at record pace then? And wind too?

> That doesn’t follow from what you quoted.

Ok what is the US doing for renewable energy under this administration?

> They are tariffing other products/industries and working on additional ones.

We're focusing on renewable tech here. That's the focus of this thread.

> That a country is acting in its own interests? I don't think that's news.

You changed the topic though, that wasn't what we were talking about.

> I think climate change is the biggest problem of our lifetime. China's output of green tech is our best chance. I think useful idiots for the fossil fuel industry demonize China to transitively discredit renewables (i.e. not for "lofty moral reasons" like democracy). There's a genuine double standard.

That basically proves my initial point lol. That's why it's important to make sure while the effects may be good for the climate, it's not done with any intention for the planet's benefit and specific tactics that are being used are harmful to other countries.

> Drill deeper. How does this prevent Japan from "greening" today? That's the topic we're discussing.

I'd challenge you to do the same thing. How can Japan "green" when China has restricted exports of rare earth materials to Japan because China and its junior partner North Korea are engaging in provocative military activities near Japan?

If your version of "Japan can green by buying China's products" you're being immature in your understanding of international relations, the importance for countries like Japan to maintain their industrial base, and how the environment is an important consideration, but just one of many.

> Why can't Japan source "dual use" rare earths from somewhere else? They aren't actually that rare. Japan could invest in mines and processing facilities in Africa or the US or Canada.

Well Japan and western allies and democracies are working on it, but the problem isn't the location of rare earths it is the ability (as far as I understand) to process them. It'll take time for those capabilities to be stood up, and they have to be subsidized or benefit from tariffs because China has built up so much excess industrial capacity that other countries can't build their own without such policies.

> Describes most oil-producing countries. This is virtue signalling.

Norway is an oil-producing country and not an autocracy. Your point was disproven.

> Cheap, abundant PV and batteries that can decarbonize the world? I'm ok with localized damage to one country's environment, done voluntarily, for that. Climate change will wreck the global environment.

That's your opinion but it's not the opinion of others. I disagree, for example.

> How did China do it then?

You want me to explain the history of the World Trade Organization, the US advocating for China to do it under the guise that China was going to liberalize and democratize, and then how China used most-favored nation status, a regime of state subsidies, and artificially depressing its currency to boost exports? If you're not aware of this stuff, are you sure you should be speaking on this topic without even the basics?

> Ok what else then? You want battery manufacturing? Motors? Has China somehow restricted countries from building their own industries?

Already explained above.

> Ok what is the US doing for renewable energy under this administration?

Idk? We'll have a new administration in a couple of years though.

> We're focusing on renewable tech here. That's the focus of this thread.

Ok then you can stop replying to me since that's not the only thing I'm talking about. I'm focused on more than renewable tech and that's of little concern to me in the grand scheme of things including climate change.

  • > > Describes most oil-producing countries. This is virtue signalling.

    > Norway is an oil-producing country and not an autocracy. Your point was disproven.

    Are you somehow unfamiliar with the definition of the word "most"?

    > That basically proves my initial point lol

    I don't know what your "point" was honestly because you yourself conceded it didn't "matter much".

    > Ok then you can stop replying to me since [green energy is] not the only thing I'm talking about

    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49821986 that's what you were talking about there.

    > If your version of "Japan can green by buying China's products" you're being immature in your understanding of international relations

    Japan (and most other countries) are already "not green" by buying oil from other autocratic nations. Like I said this is all virtue signalling to avoid going renewable. The fossil fuel industry loves it.

    "Rare earths" are a strategic necessity for defence, and China won't sell them for that reason - fine. Countries who still need them can nationalize processing capacity and run it at a loss for the sole use of defence industries. No need to participate or compete in the market at all. China's subsidies and the WTO don't matter.

    • > Are you somehow unfamiliar with the definition of the word "most"?

      Your point was still not great, but I apologize as I misread what you wrote.

      > I don't know what your "point" was honestly because you yourself conceded it didn't "matter much".

      If you don't know what we were discussing why are you arguing about it?

      > https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49821986 that's what you were talking about there.

      Industrial output falling because of tariffs for example would be aligned with my initial post. You're being argumentative here for no good reason. If you just want to talk about the engineering technology I don't have much else to say about it. But if you want to talk about the important stuff, why it's not being adopted, why some countries are adopting it and others aren't, I think that's an interesting conversation to have.

      > Japan (and most other countries) are already "not green" by buying oil from other autocratic nations. Like I said this is all virtue signalling to avoid going renewable. The fossil fuel industry loves it.

      Well they're stuck between buying oil from autocratic nations (China also buys oil from autocratic nations) or buying green technology from autocratic nations which are also threatening them or stopping exports of the technology or industry. Saudi Arabia (or insert whatever country here) doesn't for example stop oil exports to Japan for example if Japan also does their own oil drilling or exploration. China does stop exports of certain technologies or even processed rare earth minerals.

      > "Rare earths" are a strategic necessity for defence, and China won't sell them for that reason - fine. Countries who still need them can nationalize processing capacity and run it at a loss for the sole use of defence industries. No need to participate or compete in the market at all.

      No lol they'll subsidize them and refuse to buy China's products to protect domestic industries and capabilities to build the products themselves. It won't be limited to defense. Plus as I have pointed out a few times China itself restricts exports because of the threat of dual-use (which is in response to Chinese provocations) so China will in effect stop the export of defense-related products even when they can be used by consumers.

      > China's subsidies and the WTO don't matter.

      That doesn't make any sense.