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Comment by merelydev

15 hours ago

False dichotomy. Chess/Go can still be played between two humans and there is allot of value in that because humans compare each other to other humans, when you see a skillful Grandmaster play you know they are good compared to yourself or the average human, that is why people still watch, play chess/go and train hard to get good. Programming is different because you are creating something not necessarily trying to win a game.

Most programming tasks are exactly like that. Is this agent able to complete this task? Is this agent able to optimize a kernel beyond previous attempts?

Of course some are subjective and that's where progress is harder, like "Is this website pretty?". But for tasks that can be objectively measured, LLMs will go beyond human level, just like with Chess and Go.

That's why RL is so important when training LLMs.

  • My point is that LLMs depend on training data so the code they produce will be stuck in 2022, no new languages, techniques beyond that because new techniques are not in the training data (at least not enough of it for training because most coders are now using LLMs).

    Chess/Go continues to progress because it is primarily a human vs human activity, people will always be learning to play chess and chess will continue to develop.

    • > Chess/Go continues to progress because it is primarily a human vs human activity, people will always be learning to play chess and chess will continue to develop.

      AIs are not continuing to get better at chess/go because humans continue to play at levels far below themselves who discover new techniques. They get better because they play against other AIs and discover new techniques that have a higher win rate that way.

      I would bet that even if humans stopped playing chess/go and people were still willing to run these AI models against each other they would continue to get better.

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    • Pre training data is in large part synthetic these days, and RL data is almost all synthetic.

      Computer Chess progress has nothing to do with human vs human activity. AlphaGo Zero used no human game data at all.

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