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Comment by ameminator

10 hours ago

But if the drop between 2018 and 2022 was AS LARGE as the drop between 2022 and 2026, this implies that something happened that was as large as a global pandemic for students' education happened in the last four years. I believe the OP is implying this could have been AI. However, something else could be happening, such as use of phones and other devices or another fundamental problem in the education system.

One can try to tease out effects by looking at per-country or per-state breakdowns. It seems to me that:

- there are lots of different long term trends that vary by country

- some seem to have started too long ago to be tick tock or similar

- some countries see a pandemic drop and recovery

- this implies to me that:

(I) the pandemic had a strong temporary effect on average educational attainment (though I have strong priors here), and

(II) other things like long-term trends in teaching approaches, new distractions for students, or availability of AI for ‘cheating’ also have an impact

See coverage of the recent test results in the FT here: https://www.ft.com/content/724f8ecb-1e2b-4c7f-bbb6-14239abd5...

- Students who entered the education system in the COVID years are still taking tests today. They didn’t automatically relearn everything.

- Schools have not gone back to pre-COVID practices. Online courses, use of digital tools, fewer tests, dropping SAT/ACT requirements, and most of all budget cuts in school districts – all are still happening today.

  • You mentioned budget cuts and yet if I remember the data there is almost no correlation between school budget and results.

    On the other hand, you have the Mississippi miracle, achieved at a budget increase of $35 per student, and a total budget of around $12k per student-- a far cry from the more recent example of education failure in New York City at $26k/student (elementary) and $32k/student (middle school)

    • If you normalize those numbers for the cost of operating in Mississippi vs New York City, the gap is way smaller.

      The chief costs for schools are salaries and premises, both of which are highly location dependent.

    • you are correct, but budget cuts are happening nevertheless and it's being used to justify laying off teachers (while admin staff stay employed... strange?)

The trauma from lockdowns does not disappear overnight! It is compounding damage, that gets worse every year!

And we can not just change childrens habits, after we forced them to sit at home for 2 years with nothing but youtube! They missed key developmental phase!

  • The "trauma" from staying at home? Please. If the parents let them watch youtube for 2 years then the parents were stupid. I have 3 kids in school, all but one of them were in school at the time. Staying at home with Grandma and Papa while they did zoom school didn't break their brains. You know what my kids don't have? My kids don't have a smart phone. You know what my kids don't have? Unlimited access to devices.

    Now, I will say that the Pandemic was pretty traumatic here in the US, at least a million people died last time I looked at it. Those people were somebody's neighbors, grandparents, uncles, etc. So maybe the realization that "nobody gives a shit about you except for your productivity" was a lesson they internalized?

    Largely, I think it is the parents though. Like I said, I have kids, and when their grades slump, I get on them to fix it. A lot of people are really unwilling to do that.

    • > Like I said, I have kids, and when their grades slump, I get on them to fix it. A lot of people are really unwilling to do that.

      This is a massive, wide-spread decline, it's not isolated to the US, and all you can think of is to brag about how you're a better parent than the average? As if kids who made the mistake of having being born to parents who are "stupid" unlike you should just be left hanging in the wind? Come on.

      So much about how so many acted during the pandemic, both pro and contra, whatever, was messed up, and a lot of kids got to pay a hefty price for it through no fault of their own. And I think much more interesting than what exactly caused it how much and who should be ranked where on the value totem when it comes to how they handled this or what they proposed, is how to change it, how to help.

      And for that I'd rather listen to affected kids than parents parading their personal achievements, because while that is all very good, and well done, if you don't understand the sheer vastness and range of humans and how they live, it's still like someone who has perfect photographic memory wondering why cameras are so popular, or why people re-read books instead of saving time by remembering anything they read forever. It's precisely because you are so far above the average parent that you offer nothing helpful.

    • > I have 3 kids

      So they got at least some of what a lot of kids missed out on: socialization.

      With homeschooling, parents go out of their way to find other kids for theirs to socialize with, but during lockdowns this wasn't allowed (if the parents even had any idea about it, since it was forced on them and not something they chose to do).

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    • Obviusly you and your family were not affected by lockdown so badly, congrats. Not everyone was so lucky though.

      > Staying at home with Grandma and Papa

      Lockdown prevented relatives visits.

      > Pandemic was pretty traumatic here in the US, at least a million people died last time I looked at it.

      Millions die every year, that is normal for a country with 350 million people!

      > You know what my kids don't have? My kids don't have a smart phone. You know what my kids don't have? Unlimited access to devices.

      My kid did not had device before pandemic, we got tablet for lockdowns. My kid was social and full of energy, it always wanted to play outside and climb trees. Two years of isolation, in tiny apartment were pretty bad!

      Now it does not want to go outside, it does not want to socialize! It adapted and got new hobies.

      > Largely, I think it is the parents though

      Yes, i blame myself. For not ignoring lockdowns and not fighting back! Against sociopaths who enforced this bs!

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