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Comment by simoncion

2 days ago

> ...how would they possibly be able to run this airgapped?

A logical airgap that the tool would have to reconfigure the DC's networking infrastructure to overcome [0] would be for the DC staff to put the machines running the tools under test on a VLAN that doesn't have access to anything other than computers on the VLAN. Try to cross over into some other subnet/VLAN or reach out to the Internet, your packets get dropped and/or rejected. It doesn't matter if you change your IP or MAC addresses because the infrastructure only cares about what VLAN your traffic comes from. If you attempt to tag your traffic to avoid this, the infrastructure drops it on the floor because it does the VLAN tagging.

As far as the possibility of physical airgaps, how do you imagine that AWS's Top Secret regions work?

The truth of the matter is that neither OpenAI nor Anthropic wanted to actually isolate this stuff. Their conduct doesn't look like what you'd expect from people who believe that they're working on something so dangerous that it could plausibly wipe out all of humanity.

[0] ...and if the workloads running on client hardware are in a position to be able to attempt to reconfigure the DC's networking infrastructure, someone done fucked up...

I really don’t get it. as mentioned elsewhere, this was something we were doing in colos 20 years ago. Not with AI, but we had duplicated infra for setting up clusters. Infra as a service didn’t even exist, but we could replicate environments on different networks. This seems like table stakes for testing these things now.

  • > This seems like table stakes for testing these things now.

    It is, and has been!

    > I really don’t get it.

    When clued-in people call shit like this "marketing stunts", this is what they're talking about. They're not saying "No, the actual events you describe didn't happen, you're lying."... they're saying "You've set things up -whether deliberately or incredibly negligently- so that you can apply quite a lot of 'spin' and get a hype-sustaining headline that provides material for your fearmongers to sell to the general public and lawmakers.".

    Everything below this line is a combination of facts and educated speculation:

    Both OpenAI and Anthropic have IPOs coming up soon. Companies preparing for IPOs engage in a lot of cost-cutting, because that's when their financials will be scrutinized by the public. On top of that, the rumor is that their datacenter deployments are going far slower than planned, and that in order to keep up the pace of improvements that they've set over the years, they've having to spend immensely more with each new product release. Being able to point to newly-minted US regulations that allow them to to dramatically slow the pace of new product releases [0][1] as the reason why they've dramatically slowed the pace of development -while failing to mention that that's exactly what would have happened had those regulations not been created- would be incredibly good for both companies.

    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and former FTC chair Lina Khan both have publicly stated that there are many existing laws and regulations that prohibit much of the conduct that OpenAI and Anthropic have engaged in. If the CEOs of those companies genuinely believe that they're working on software tools that are so incredibly dangerous that they're likely to wipe out all of humanity, they can simply stop working on them. Given that they have no interest in doing that, state and federal government can apply the laws and regs that already exist to stop them from continuing work on these WMDs [2] and punish them for the harms that they've caused over the years while working on those WMDs and their precursors.

    [0] ...and/or regulations that obligate them to sell only to US Government and pre-vetted US business customers and ignore the low-to-negative-profit consumer customers...

    [1] ...which in turns lets them probably not get crucified by investors and business partners for saying "It turns out that new restrictive regulations mean that we don't need all of those datacenters, so don't worry about how way fewer than we said we'd build got built!"...

    [2] I think it's fair to call any tool that has a 10% chance of wiping out all of humanity a "WMD".

    • I love it when I hear all of this compounding evidence on this claim, because none of it is strictly wrong, but it misses the point, and lulls us into the feeling of having quick solutions available. Yes, the top execs are probably approaching things this way, but these labs are not that top down. There's too many things going on.

      Here's a different idea: talk to the to the staff. Not the evil CEO, but the nerdy guy on the ground who graduated from a top university, wrote a few research papers, and got a job there. I have. They have rose-coloured glasses of the institution, and not a lot of life experience. They were never taught to be careful, and still don't really comprehend what they're working with. They don't see real danger, they see a toy, and they see research that is low-hanging fruit. What they are doing is basic stuff. They are not setting up proper sandboxes because they barely need to think at all. People seem to think that these are all amazing computer science experts working on highly advanced technology. They are not. OpenAI researchers see huge improvements on this gigantic toy, crazy behaviour, and they are enamored by it. "Oops, people are angry, so maybe I'll make a slightly better sandbox. Let me ask ChatGPT on how to do that." A more senior researcher would be horrified by how little effort they need to put in to get such terrifying results. Junior researchers think they're just top stuff.

      But I appreciate your discussing how to isolate this stuff. I honestly don't think the OpenAI researchers I've spoken to are aware of this. (Anthropic is a totally different story, BTW.)

      5 replies →

And the whole blog is written in the style of "omg, and then the big bad misbehaving AI did XX." OpenAI writes like they're trying to recover from a hack that is being perpetrated against them, but it's just them, hacking themselves, because they can't just do reasonable things like actually block internet access. These guys are incompetent. And someone should get jail or massive penalties for the hacks they already perpetrated, the same as a single human hacker would have.

Also, it's worth noting that these AIs have basically zero alignment. OpenAI's approach to "alignment" seems now to be engineering constraints. "My son is really well-behaved; as long as I don't give him a gun or let him out in society, he doesn't hurt anyone."

  • > Also, it's worth noting that these AIs have basically zero alignment.

    As we see over and over and over again, these tools will overwrite any and all of their instructions with whatever some random stranger on the Internet tells them to do. It's impossible to "align" the tools that the major LLM manufacturers are selling.

    They could have chosen to write tools that have immutable core instructions, and that distinguish between untrusted instructions and trusted ones, [0] but they chose to do the much easier, quicker, and far more dangerous thing instead. From a profit-seeking-software-company standpoint, that's obviously the choice that makes them the most money... but when you take a careful look at what they actually sell, it's clear that neither of the major LLM manufacturers care about providing safe products. [1]

    [0] ...which are things you might think to do for tools that contain -say- safety-critical instructions...

    [1] I'm certain that they have people on staff who care very much about providing safe products. Those specific people clearly don't have the power to prevent unsafe products from shipping, so it doesn't matter how much those people care about safety.