Comment by ulfw
4 hours ago
Which CEO said this for 'literally decades'? And if so why are they still pursuing it then?
Most children have learned touching a hot stove is bad for them. Then why still do it at the age of 40?
4 hours ago
Which CEO said this for 'literally decades'? And if so why are they still pursuing it then?
Most children have learned touching a hot stove is bad for them. Then why still do it at the age of 40?
BTW, just to be clear it is insane that they're all still pursuing it, so completely reasonable to be sceptical and come up with other reasons. This is, however, a crazy situation. Lots of other people have refused to develop it - natural selection has picked those with a galaxy brained or vain strategy involving continuing to develop it to be running the companies we have.
Sam Altman in 2015 - "Development of superhuman machine intelligence (SMI) [1] is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity" https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-1
Elon Musk in 2014 - "We need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes" https://x.com/elonmusk/status/495759307346952192
Dario Amodei in 2017 - "There’s a long tail of things of varying degrees of badness that could happen. I think at the extreme end is the Nick Bostrom" https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/the-world-needs-ai-r...
They're still pursuing it because without an international treaty, they think it is inevitable. In the case of Dario, they want to align it just enough and be first to stop others causing harm (a vainglorious strategy, yet still a strategy). In the case of Musk and Altman, not completely clear to me.
Google feels less important right now probably, and Demis Hassabis no longer runs Deep Mind as CEO. However, he talked about this early too, and his reason for proceeding was he was only doing narrow AI (e.g. protein folding) which is fundamentally less dangerous.
> Demis Hassabis ... he was only doing narrow AI (e.g. protein folding) which is fundamentally less dangerous.
I don't think this is true. He repeatedly says things like "I’ve been working towards AGI my whole life".
Wondering how many details & knowhow they had already back then when saying these quotes:
- For Altman Id say he was already deeper in the "transformer & model landscape" in 2015?
- Musk in 2014: Not sure how much he was aware of the current-state back then
Musk was told by Demis Hassabis in 2012, see https://time.com/6310076/elon-musk-ai-walter-isaacson-biogra...
Altman read Nick Bostrom's book Superintelligence, he mentions it in this post https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-1
I also read that book in 2014, and it is how I came to understand this problem early.
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>In the case of Musk and Altman, not completely clear to me.
They probably just want to ensure that the first AGI is a nazi.
While Musk is now far-right (albeit seemingly not a Hitlerist - yet), Altman is pretty much a liberal.
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