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Comment by idiotsecant

20 days ago

This will in fact not happen. There are no models that result in 90% population depletion in less than 100 years

This is an hyperbole, yes. Replace the 100 million value with 300, 400, 500, and my point isnt going to change.

  • > Replace the 100 million value with 300, 400, 500, and my point isnt going to change

    Your ratios are all wrong. There are about 500mm Indians aged 6 to 26 today who will be over 80 (and under 100) by 2100. Even if nobody dies, India isn’t hitting 1.2bn 80-year olds. As for under-18s in that timeline, it ranges from 100 to 500 million depending on fertility.

    Put another way, there is no deterministic population collapse in India the way there almost must be in Korea and Germany.

    • I'm honestly very glad to hear it won't be too bad but I reaaaaallly do not really care about numbers, my point is much broader.

      I'd prefer if it didn't have to go through this at all. Knowing you are headed for bad times isn't something to live with, it's something to fix. And it's not like the birth rates in each state are staying the same, they are actively dropping. The issue isn't just there, it's also getting worse.

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    • Tempted to infuriate everyone in this thread by suggesting that the German population will also be fine .. due to Indians moving there.

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