Comment by dang

The criterion that decides dupeness is not whether the URLs are identical, but whether the new submission can support a substantially different discussion.

The report is certainly useful! but there is no way that the two threads would remain partitioned, with one about the model in general and another about this report in particular.

Therefore the later submission, although the link is different, needs to be treated as a dupe. The solution is to merge the threads while including the new link prominently in the other thread, so readers don't lose access to it. I've done that now by putting https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49943034 into the primary thread. Both links are useful, but the discussions were so overlapping that they needed to be merged.