Comment by pka

> There has been much refutation and quality analysis at every point.

I am curious about this. Any high quality refutations that directly engage with the arguments and the findings of published safety papers?

> Many people’s analyses showed in the first week that the mathematical model

Even if the model is faulty it just changes the timeline, no? (they predicted the OpenAI outbreak will happen in January 2027 fwiw, so they don't seem too far off)

> Slutcon or the use of AI safety group buildings to host orgies

I mean it's a bit weird, sure, but so what? What exactly is bothering you about these orgies?