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Comment by jstummbillig

2 hours ago

I don't think it will matter in a year or so. We are clearly topping out on useful intelligence for an increasing amount of tasks, as demonstrated by more and more models reaching the "useful" barrier.

This barrier is not going to start moving dramatically. It will simply be mostly satisfied for most work we do. Mistral is going to get there, soonish, long before the economy takes an entirely different shape (in so far that even happens).

There will be super human intelligence tasks, tasks truly constrained by intelligence for quite a while. Those will be few and far between, relatively speaking. Mistral will have plenty of opportunity to capture the other stuff, with a fraction of the resources required that it took the frontier labs to get there first.