Comment by psvv
21 hours ago
My apologies, I got my info from an LLM. I guess they still have a ways to go in understanding current events.
21 hours ago
My apologies, I got my info from an LLM. I guess they still have a ways to go in understanding current events.
I just asked Opus 5.5 if any AI driven advances in mathematics have been announced in the last day or so and it gave me a summary of this OpenAI announcement. https://claude.ai/share/319b437a-c1f2-4119-8dc5-45d36545fed9
Which LLM specifically? If it’s cloud based, you should be able to share the chat, right?
But seriously, I am still waiting for someone to wager that AI won’t be able to do a specific cognitive task in the next 5 years. This fact should be evidence enough that we have no idea how far AI capabilities will continue to advance.
I asked both gemini and chatgpt "do frontier models still have trouble counting letters?" and the first word of both responses was yes.
The fact that no one is taking you up on that bet I don't find to be particularly persuasive. I suspect there will be plenty of cognitive tasks LLMs struggle with in 5 years, maybe even 20. But I wouldn't hazard to guess which, I don't think anyone is capable of that level of foresight.
This is so strange I tried it on Gemini Flash: "Yes, but significantly less than before." When you read beyond the first word it explains where LLMs might fail and why.
Ok, share links to the conversations with both models. I asked ChatGPT Astra 6 medium effort and it said, "Much less than they used to." and provided stats showing how accurate they are.[1]
1. https://chatgpt.com/share/6ac5e4cc-02f0-83e8-8f05-99a7ea2bf9...
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Solve the Collatz conjecture in the next five years? If humans publish significant advances during that time, and A.I. copies it, then yes. Otherwise, I'd definitely bet money it won't happen. I'll give you 10,000 brownie points if I'm wrong.