← Back to context Comment by ezwoodland 4 days ago Not if you use a proper scoring rule.See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scoring_rule 2 comments ezwoodland Reply red75prime 4 days ago I'd say selecting a scoring rule that depends on the probability distribution (the Brier score, for example) changes the task from predicting the results of coin flips to predicting the distribution. Maybe it will work with a corresponding prompt. ezwoodland 3 days ago You can use a local proper scoring rule.
red75prime 4 days ago I'd say selecting a scoring rule that depends on the probability distribution (the Brier score, for example) changes the task from predicting the results of coin flips to predicting the distribution. Maybe it will work with a corresponding prompt. ezwoodland 3 days ago You can use a local proper scoring rule.
I'd say selecting a scoring rule that depends on the probability distribution (the Brier score, for example) changes the task from predicting the results of coin flips to predicting the distribution. Maybe it will work with a corresponding prompt.
You can use a local proper scoring rule.