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Comment by vanuatu

3 days ago

until 1) software is saturated or 2) llms or their creators will take accountability for any issues its code causes i think there will continuously be the next phase

Tbh i dont see software demand being saturated anytime soon (which is why im bullish SWEs, and we're seeing both demand and compensation increase as of late), we keep moving up abstractions and increasing ambition and scope for new projects.

If all the companies use {frontier model} then your competitive advantage is what you have that is not legible to the model

>until 1) software is saturated

Software has been saturated for a long time.

There are a bajillion apps on the app store that get little to no recognition. Most software startups fail to find a foothold and go under. An uncountable number of FOSS projects have been seen by at most a handful of people, and even fewer who have used/cloned the code.

  • "App store apps" seems like the last place I'd look to try and determine whether the software market is saturated. It's a niche, at best.

  • Each existing software solution having 10,000 clones is not the same as software being saturated. There are still unsolved problems.

  • that doesn't imply software as a whole is saturated.

    does the world use more or less software YoY? (LLMs counts as software btw.)

    the differentiating factors have changed but the underlying demand has only increased.