Comment by jimbokun
1 day ago
> It’s completely obvious what the play is here and it has nothing to do with pay. We pay peanuts for tokens so automating a developer for 200-500 a month worth of tokens ain’t getting you to a trillion a year.
Could be hallucinating by I just asked Gemini to estimate global average compensation of developers and multiply by estimate of total number of developers in the world, and it came up with $1 trillion to $2 trillion.
So the total addressable market is the right order of magnitude, let alone all the other automatable high wage occupations..
That would be interesting except nobody will pay 50-100k for tokens not even if they would supplant the humans completely.
Market forces drive it down hard. The USA is not the only player. Open source models are not vastly behind. My guess it that the 100-200 range will remain the baseline no matter the capabilities.