Comment by nilamo

This assumes all other information remains exactly the same as it is currently. That is not how the real world works, however. As time goes on, and it becomes more obvious that the company is floundering, the "long shot" will no longer be such a long shot, and will not have as high of a return.

idk, if "prediction markets" remain a real thing, there should probably be some requirement for previous experience in options-adjacent markets to ensure people actually understand the economics of time-valued positions.