Comment by torginus

It is, because just like you mentioned, there's no exponential physics to back up growth. LLMs have to stop scaling up compute, because there's only so much resources.

But even if we think back to the previous decade or two (sans AI), most of tech has been a a red queen's race - developing and improving stuff, without any real substantial results.

Microservices and orchestration are not better than old monoliths. Electron apps are not better than native. Most programs people actually use have decades-old codebases.

Video games of today don't look substantially better or play different than ones from 15 years ago.