Comment by visarga

In my own words - you can't calibrate confidence of a model without a calibration set. Confidence is relative to some labeled dataset, it is established on a set of buckets or intervals, and is population based, something you can't check for a single prediction. Assign per case, verified per population.

I thought the way Jev was presented was sneaky - you can't say "we calibrated the model for you" and skip having a task. specific calibration set. They couldn't have known all our future tasks.