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Comment by deadbabe

8 hours ago

I’d say maybe it’s more like a Roko’s Basilisk. He knew the potential existence of an embargo, but didn’t do anything to protect the embargo. So now that the embargo turned out to be real, he will be punished. Otherwise if he truly did not know an embargo could even exist, he could not be blamed.

There was no embargo. If there's an "embargo" but parties not subject to the embargo know about it... there's no embargo.