Comment by matheusmoreira

https://www.tse.jus.br/comunicacao/noticias/2022/Setembro/pl...

https://www.tse.jus.br/comunicacao/noticias/2026/Outubro/cor...

https://www.infomoney.com.br/politica/lula-usa-alvorada-em-l...

Bolsonaro was prohibited from running lives inside the Palácio do Alvorada in 2022. Lula does so with impunity, court rejects regulation when denounced.

https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/politica/tse-mantem-restricoes-...

https://jovempan.com.br/colunistas/bruno-pinheiro/tse-nega-p...

Bolsonaro banned from using UN speech during his campaign. Attempts to denounce Lula for the same behavior went nowhere. Judge is known to vote for Lula.

https://www.poder360.com.br/justica/moraes-veta-campanha-sob...

https://www.tse.jus.br/comunicacao/noticias/2026/Outubro/cge...

Bolsonaro prevented from explaining his Auxílio Brasil benefits to the public until after the election. Lula can spam people with the same content all he wants with total impunity.

https://noticias.stf.jus.br/postsnoticias/stf-invalida-emend...

https://noticias.stf.jus.br/postsnoticias/stf-reconhece-que-...

Supreme court invalidates Bolsonaro's benefit increases during the election year. Lula can increase them with total impunity.

I think it's pretty clear at this point that the court will back Lula.