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Comment by AnimalMuppet

19 hours ago

Part of the problem is multiple tracks. Those tracks may be only 10 feet (3 m) apart. (I don't know if high-speed rail lines in Spain are that close, and I don't know if the line where the accident occurred was double track.)

"Reasonably accurate GPS" trying to determine which track you're on at 150 mph is not as simple as you make it sound. Yeah, it can determine how far along the track you are. But when you get two trains moving toward each other, each at 150 MPH, do you really trust that GPS to tell you that they're on different tracks?

I agree that the problem here has no easy, general and automatic gps-based solution but I think it's helpful to keep the actual likely situations in mind. Usually we have the most trains/densest timetables close to major transport hubs where speeds are low anyway and driving 'on sight' is a good compromise of safety and keeping things working. Where speed really matters - outside of major hubs, straight ruralish routes - we simply don't usually have great density of trains AND tracks. At least from my travels in western Europe I don't think I've ever seen more than two tracks in the same direction on high-speed-segments. So if we keep that in mind and don't expect a general and automatic solution, a simple, gps-based fallback-system that requires all trains that are within a radius of X of each other (either in time or space) MUST coordinate, else they both shutdown/move on sight, could work reasonably well. In reality and for the involved parties (the trains that are close to each other), it's a very human-scale problem.

Trains can't change lanes without warning like a Nissan Altima on the Dan Ryan Expressway. The only way a train can move from one track to an adjacent track -- or get on the first track in the first place -- is if switches are set to allow the train onto that track. And on any modern high-speed line, those switches are centrally controlled by dispatch.

Keeping track of which parallel track a train was on automatically was a solved problem a hundred years ago, using relays and lights and hard-wired logic. Adding computers and GPS greatly increases the precision with which dispatch knows position and speed along the track, but knowing which track has not changed in the last century.

  • Yes, but as long as the central signalling system is working, it already knows where the train is, with no need to involve GPS. (And where modern signalling and train protection systems need increased precision as compared to the granularity of track circuits/axle counter sections, the solution usually involves a combination of on-train odometry plus track balises at occasional intervals in order to reset any inaccuracies that might have accumulated.)

    What we're talking about here is some sort of TCAS-equivalent for the case where the central signalling is down – while it's easy to accurately localise trains with the aid of a central signalling system that authoritatively knows about the infrastructure layout, it's quite more difficult when you're trying to do the same thing in a decentralised, train-local fashion.

It's very easy since there is limited ability for trains to change tracks, so the location history of the train is a strong indicator of which track it is on. Even Google Maps can tell you which lane you are in since god knows when, and cars can freely change lanes. And that's just consumer software. For something commercial like a train they could trivially solve this problem with something more robust. But I'm not familiar with the Spanish system; how much of the engineering did they do?

  • There are switches that move trains between tracks. Now you need every switch to report, keep a history of that. Many trains also separate and combine. Trains sometimes go backwards to be switched.

    It's not impossible. But handwaving GPS placement of trains at the correct location, direction, and track deserves more than a handwave as trivial.

    • All of those failure modes can be accommodated. I fail to see anything here a competent engineer couldn't address. I speculate it's not a technical problem, but an operational and cultural one. This is not rocket science.

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  • Yes, it can tell you. How perfectly, though? Perfectly enough to bet 60 lives on?

    When Google Maps gets wrong what lane I'm in, nobody dies. It can be right 99% of the time, that's good enough. It's not good enough for a train system, though - at least, I suspect it's not. I'd want a lot more than "it works in my car" before I trusted it.

    • Can we just have it as an additional data point, on top of what we should already know from where the train should be from switching history? If we get 99% accuracy, is that enough to check with an operator “specify which track you are in, left or right” when the measured value is different than the expected?

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  • HN does railway safety... The Dunning-Kruger level in this thread is ridiculous.

    As a passenger, I'm very glad software engineers haven't (fully) taken over aviation and railway safety yet.

  • Google maps gives me the directions for the express lanes when I'm in the normal lanes and vice versa like 50% of the time, and that's an order of magnitude greater error in distance than the distance between adjacent train tracks. And several orders of magnitude greater failure rate than is acceptable for a safety system.