You know that you can’t just judge an investment by past return, right? Would it be rational for a lotto player to tell you how great lotto is as an investment? Or people winning at the casino? Success doesn’t mean it was the rationally optimal decision.
Compare a purchase of any commodity, bond, precious metal, or ETF/mutual fund in 2008 to BTC's performance since 2008. Or 2009, or 2010, or 2011, or 2012, or 2013, or 2014, or 2015, or 2016, or 2017, or 2018...
To call that "a bit cherry-picking" is a serious understatement.
BTC has grossly outperformed SPY over the last 3 years (+129% btc, +64% spy), last 4 years (+271% btc, +95% spy) and last 6+ years (6y: +457% btc, +115% spy), and the gap only grows the further back you go.
last 1 year, last 2 years, and last 5 years are the only "last n years" windows in which SPY has outperformed BTC. There are 19 of those windows to choose from, and only 3 where SPY wins, and that's near the bottom of the trough of the current halving cycle, no less. At the peak of the halving cycle, there are no windows in which SPY beats BTC.
Sure. Since the invention of say Bitcoin, which of those assets would you have preferred to own and why?
> Since the invention of say Bitcoin
Convenient date to pick there.
> which of those assets would you have preferred to own and why?
NVDA.
It's a productive use of resources, not a last-fool-standing pyramid scheme.
hindsight is the best hedge fund
You know that you can’t just judge an investment by past return, right? Would it be rational for a lotto player to tell you how great lotto is as an investment? Or people winning at the casino? Success doesn’t mean it was the rationally optimal decision.
Compare a purchase of any commodity, bond, precious metal, or ETF/mutual fund in 2008 to BTC's performance since 2008. Or 2009, or 2010, or 2011, or 2012, or 2013, or 2014, or 2015, or 2016, or 2017, or 2018...
It’s a bit cherry-picking, but right now BTC’s 5-year growth is 28% while the S&P is 67%.
To be fair bitcoin’s initial years were extraordinary. By any metric you use though the rate of increase has clearly slowed.
To call that "a bit cherry-picking" is a serious understatement.
BTC has grossly outperformed SPY over the last 3 years (+129% btc, +64% spy), last 4 years (+271% btc, +95% spy) and last 6+ years (6y: +457% btc, +115% spy), and the gap only grows the further back you go.
last 1 year, last 2 years, and last 5 years are the only "last n years" windows in which SPY has outperformed BTC. There are 19 of those windows to choose from, and only 3 where SPY wins, and that's near the bottom of the trough of the current halving cycle, no less. At the peak of the halving cycle, there are no windows in which SPY beats BTC.