Comment by jacquesm

17 years ago

Googles turnover exeeds Microsofts by 2015, if not earlier.

As for the displays the 30" screens already do 2560x1600, they're still a good bit of money but they'll be affordable within 2 to 3 years (and some people already think they're affordable).

The decade that parallel processing became commonplace

the end of 32 bit computing.

Some unknown manufacturer will make a tablet-phone-musicplayer hybrid and score.

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jacquesm

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davidw  17 years ago

> the end of 32 bit computing.

I'd qualify that one, as the "embedded" world tends to hang on to older stuff for a long time. I don't see, for instance, mobile phones going to 64 bit just yet...

  • jacquesm  17 years ago

    Ok, as requested: the end of 32 bit computing for consumer pcs and server platforms.

    So all mainstream machines not being mobile or embedded devices will be 64 bits by the end of the decade (and plenty of those will be too, but you are right, not all of them).

    I thought that it was fairly obvious that that is what I meant, after all, we are today also able to buy 16 and even 12 or 8 bit cpus for embedding. But even most mobile phones and pdas are already on a 32 bit platform these days.

NathanKP  17 years ago

the end of 32 bit computing

I wonder how long it will be before 128 bit is the new 64 bit?

  • jacquesm  17 years ago

    4004 1971, 4 bits, 740 Khz

    8080 1974, 8 bits, 2 MHz

    8086 1978, 16 bits, 5 MHz

    80386 1985, 32 bits, 12 MHz

    AMDK8 2003, 64 bits, 1 GHz

    Only 'x86' parts, if you look at other architectures (for instance 68k) then the dates will be quite different.

    The interesting part about that list is that if the clock frequencies had continue to increase I'm fairly sure that the 32 bit model would have been taken a lot further up before going for 64 bits.

    So it seems as though the widening of the datapath is to some extent used to offset the limit on CPU frequency.