Comment by kamaal
9 years ago
>>I think that depends on what you mean with self-driving.
It means a car that doesn't have a steering wheel, brake and accelerator. That kind of a car is quite far.
9 years ago
>>I think that depends on what you mean with self-driving.
It means a car that doesn't have a steering wheel, brake and accelerator. That kind of a car is quite far.
That's at least 4-5 automotive cycles away, IMO (so 25-30 year away).
And that's for the high end. The low end cars are probably 50-60 years away, IMO.
I expect to see little 25MPH self-driving cars running around senior communities quite soon. At 25MPH and below, sensor range required is low, data quality is good, and most problems can be dealt with by slamming on the brakes. That seemed to be the target market for Google's little bubble car. The problem there is price, not capability.
The notion that the low end cars will take decades longer is very, very ridiculous.
Ummm... how many cheap cars have: adaptive cruise control or lane assist? Both technologies have been available for expensive cars for what now? 15 years?
Really cheap cars don't even have automatic gearboxes (or they are bought without them 90% of the time, outside of the US).
By "cheap car" I mean something cheaper than $20000 and "really cheap" would be below $12-15000.
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Well, prototypes have already drove millions of miles like that.
(Whether they also had a steering wheel is of course irrelevant, what the parent means is that they can drive without nobody needing to use the steering wheel).
All of the systems I've heard about need human intervention every couple of miles.