Comment by quickthrowman
4 years ago
Previous tosses do not change the outcome of subsequent tosses, so no, it’s not more likely to be tails, it has a 60% chance of being heads.
4 years ago
Previous tosses do not change the outcome of subsequent tosses, so no, it’s not more likely to be tails, it has a 60% chance of being heads.
I understand, once 60% chance is established - then - that's what it is.
However, until such probability is established, if I see heads in a row - my intuition would tell me that the physics is skewed towards heads. I don't think that it would be unreasonable to think that in such circumstances until one gets a larger sample of throws.