Comment by oceanplexian

3 years ago

They’re operating Taxi services in San Francisco. A city that doesn’t experience any real-world weather, with an area of like 50 square miles where speeds generally never exceed 25MPH. They also have humans watching cameras that take over when the self driving breaks down.

It’s a completely different problem space, like claiming someone built a train and therefore they can easily build self driving cars since they are both “driverless”.

Yes, but you're choosing only one metric to evaluate on. Waymo/Cruise are level 4+. Anecdotally (does anyone have comparable data?), they also have a much lower accident rate. Solving a problem partially for all conditions and areas rather than ~completely for a specific but large area and set of conditions doesn't seem like it puts you meaningfully ahead.

Edit: and surely Waymo/Cruise could launch everywhere with performance that's lower than their current launch cities, but they choose not to. I don't think there's any compelling reason to assume their tech doesn't work outside of SF or Arizona or wherever, they just don't want to be in the news for their cars plowing someone into a highway divider or running over a pedestrian.