Comment by Veserv

California has a reporting requirement for all companies testing L4/5 vehicles:

https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/auto...

Here is a more human digestible summary:

https://thelastdriverlicenseholder.com/2022/02/09/2021-disen...

In 2021, Waymo averaged ~7,900 miles per disengagement and Cruise averaged ~41,000. In 2020, Waymo averaged ~30,000 and Cruise around 28,500.

Tesla is absent from those reports as they have deliberately declared that all of their vehicles do not even qualify as L4/5 autonomous vehicles. They have furthermore not released any 3rd party auditable metrics for any of their claims. So, from an official perspective, Tesla is infinitely worse than Waymo.

From an unofficial standpoint, we can use Youtube videos and self-reported tracking by invested fans such as here https://www.teslafsdtracker.com/

Both of those classes of unofficial metrics by positively biased groups consistently demonstrate around 10-20 miles per disengagement at max.

As Waymo averaged 8,700 last year, that makes Tesla around 400-800x worse than Waymo as of last year and around 2,000-4,000x worse than Cruise as of last year.

We can also see from the unofficial Tesla fan metrics that FSD Beta has seen no material improvement from around one year ago.