← Back to context Comment by 542458 4 years ago Yes, the post you’re replying to was recounting a joke :) 2 comments 542458 Reply gattr 4 years ago Indeed. Hmm, but what if I roll a D20 before each flight and take a bomb only if I get a "1"? Do I decrease the average two-bombs probability to 5·10⁻⁶? meindnoch 4 years ago Yes. But the conditional probability of the plane having a bomb that’s not yours will still be 10^-4.
gattr 4 years ago Indeed. Hmm, but what if I roll a D20 before each flight and take a bomb only if I get a "1"? Do I decrease the average two-bombs probability to 5·10⁻⁶? meindnoch 4 years ago Yes. But the conditional probability of the plane having a bomb that’s not yours will still be 10^-4.
meindnoch 4 years ago Yes. But the conditional probability of the plane having a bomb that’s not yours will still be 10^-4.
Indeed. Hmm, but what if I roll a D20 before each flight and take a bomb only if I get a "1"? Do I decrease the average two-bombs probability to 5·10⁻⁶?
Yes. But the conditional probability of the plane having a bomb that’s not yours will still be 10^-4.