Comment by psychphysic
4 years ago
The dead internet theory will become true.
Machine generated (spam, AI, not reposts) and old posts from dead people or dead accounts will overwhelm new human generated content.
The war in Ukraine will end with Russia relying increasingly on kamikazi drones. Around end of spring a peace will be brokered. Russia will retain most of its territory gained esp with respect to black sea access.
Western Europe continued in recession with the UK leading the pack in economic downturn.
It will become apparent we've lost the 1.5celcius cap to global temp rises and governments will stop caring accelerating demise.
The ISS will be taken out by some space junk. But no Kessler cascade.
Chinese space station becomes man's only ped-e-espace NASA refuses to work with them.
> The ISS will be taken out by some space junk.
A bold but possible prediction.
I've seen a more cautious statistical take somewhere: well above 50% chance of a space-related fatality within the decade. Either from space junk colliding with a crewed station, or space junk falling to earth finally winning the lottery by coming down into a populated area and killing someone.
Ok, I found it:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/12/space-debris-expert-...
> I predict that we will see a loss of human life by (1) objects ... surviving reentry and hitting a populated area, or (2) people ... having their vehicle getting scwhacked by an unpredicted piece of junk.
> I predict that both those things are going to happen in the next decade
That's the first I've heard of the dead internet theory. Seems plausible. I deleted my social media around 2016. About a year ago, I created a new instagram account. My account is not private, and I'd reckon that over 50% of my followers are bots.
> The dead internet theory will become true.
How would you know that it isnt already?
The amount of bogus content of how to use chatGPT to make money is going to be ridiculous. I think that is off to the raises as we speak.