Comment by ilaksh
4 years ago
- There will be further dramatic increases in AI capability as large firms deploy multimodal large transformer models designed for things like text and image completion. These will enable language understanding for huge models grounded by it's relation to images. Even more powerful will be the models that have ingested large amounts of captioned video as well as text and images.
- New strategies for fast online learning will mean a few ML systems towards the end of 2023 that seem strangely "alive".
- Teslabot makes progress and so do a few other humanoid robots as the increasing power of AI motivates the creation of robots that can take advantage of those capabilities. Militaries will invest heavily in humanoid robots.
- China will successfully invade Taiwan, leading many to conclude that the US hegemony in the region is over. AI-generated and promoted propaganda will play a large part in motivating the hot war between the US and China. Hopefully this war will not be as devastating as we imagine it could be. Perhaps some anti-war efforts can also leverage AI.
- due to the above, USD status as reserve currency may become hotly contested, especially in the east.
- By the end of 2023, text-to-NeRF will be able to generate realistic depictions of humans of any type in any pose or behavior requested. Radiance field video generation will start with short but ultra-realistic clips.
- The first orbital flights of Starship
- A large number of generative AI startups will become popular. Some of them will connect into API hubs like Zapier, find ways to decompose, supplement and take full advantage of the limited memory of the LLMs, and enable surprisingly complex tasks to be handled by combining multiple agents and/or subtasks. From creating full web and mobile applications and games to spec, to truly useful customer support bots, and a huge range of new types of advice and entertainment built in these systems.
- NFT space will see huge trend of custom orders generated by AI.
- Twitter will integrate payments, Mastodon and other decentralized networks will integrate cryptocurrency.
- Very serious effort to counter the rise of China's CDBC with an open cryptocurrency-based alternative.
- as economic problems accelerate, socialism will see a huge increase in open popularity in the US.
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