Comment by PartiallyTyped

My very short term predictions (1-2 months) e.g. Russian invasion tend to be on point, but my middle term ones (1-2) years are far off, but let's give it a shot.

1. Breakthrough in large scale model training results in an order of magnitude decrease in computational requirements to train Neural Nets.

2. Russia detonates a tactical nuke ahead of Ukraine's assault on Crimea.

3. Putin dies of cancer or assassination.

4. Certain prominent billionaires that happen to own certain major social media platforms are found to be implicated with Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell.

5. Innocent trans people get incarcerated in Texas ( https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/ken-paxt... )

6. Multiple right-wing terrorist attacks during pride month. Attacks in gay bars and drag events (which are unrelated to LGBT people) increase to on average 1 per month across the whole year.

7. China will invade Taiwan or be ready for an invasion by 2024.

8. Hungary will be ousted from EU.

9. The church will push the populist Polish government towards more extreme behaviour against LGBT people.