Comment by cleandreams

4 years ago

- The flaws in AI become more evident even as models become more powerful. Basically AI algorithms learn patterns, not abstraction, limiting reasoning in fundamental ways.

- Understanding why AI makes mistakes continues to be a black box.

- AI, despite fears, will enliven culture through DALL-e etc .

- We will be in a golden age of science and tech, not so much in fundamental discoveries but in successfully moving away from carbon based energy. Incremental improvements across a vast array of problems with create powerful synergies.

- The problems with globalization are with us for the foreseeable future, leading to increased trading among allies, less with non-allies.

- Labor unrest will increase everywhere.

- 60% Ukraine wins, 35% stalemate or increased fighting, 5% nuclear use.

- If the Ukraine situation stabilizes the stock market will take off.

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cleandreams

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pnt12  4 years ago

> Basically AI algorithms learn patterns, not abstraction

I've been playing around with chat GPT and trying to find useful cases.

I asked it to come up with python assignments, such that I could train for a certification, and I provided the syllabus, which includes the datetime and calendar module. Among the many syggestions, one stood out to me: creating a CLI which accepts a date and uses those modules to calculate the following full moon and print it.

Sounded cool, but there's a catch: those modules don't have any information about moon cycles!

I guess it matched some pattern regarding dates and moon cycles to produce this bad answer. It's a creative suggestion, but quite unfeasible!

We cannot use these models as experts who provided answers, but instead as creative, sometimes nonsense assistants, who can give their input but we can clearly filter the good ideas from the nonsense.

palata  4 years ago

We can't move away from carbon-based energy without a very unlikely fundamental discovery. Rather we will keep using more and more carbon-based energy (and that for years, until it becomes more and more expensive and we start having energy problems).