Comment by lamontcg

- Recession by the end of the year (might not be entirely apparently until 2024 though, but at some point in 2024 at least one quarter in 2023 is designated a recession)

- Binance and Coinbase collapse

- BTC trades at under $4k (really I only think there's about a 50-50 chance of this happening and it also might be a 2024 prediction since I think the recession is the trigger--I'm also not making a prediction that BTC dies, it is too much of a perpetual zombie, very 50-50 on BTC making it out of 2024)

- Putin is ousted in a coup, Russia has lost in Ukraine (or else again this is a 2024 prediction and the writing is merely on the wall but with a sharpie). NATO has not directly intervened.

- "Deglobalization" nonsense fades (dunno how you measure this)

- Nothing happens with China and Taiwan other than continued tensions

- China is going to let COVID rip through its population in early 2023 and they'll have one of the highest death pandemic death rates in the world going out of it

- Commercial MBS blowing up will either have happened or be on the tip of everyone's tongue going into the end of 2023.