Comment by api

AI will bring the final victory of spam over all forms of filtering and gate keeping that don’t rely on true identity verification.

Things like GPT-3 will revive e-mail spam that will become almost impossible to filter.

Captchas will be solved by AI.

Social media will be flooded by increasingly sophisticated bots programmed to push propaganda.

By 2024 we will start to see even video content in places like YouTube and TikTok mass produced by bots.

I think we are in the twilight of the era of open Internet forums and open social media. The future is invite only, paid, or will require hard identity verification.

Some other bullet point predictions:

- Elon Musk is forced out of Tesla.

- Twitter continues to spiral down along with much of the rest of first and second generation social media. Elon starts looking for a buyer but at nowhere near what he paid for it. The whole sector continues to deflate with Meta also continuing its slide.

- SpaceX Starship flies successfully but with some minor issues, and continues to take longer to develop than predicted.

- Cryptocurrency continues to deflate with increasingly frantic attempts to thrash around and find a new application to reinflate it.

- Russia agrees to a peace deal in Ukraine that keeps Crimea and a little bit of taken land in the East. The rest of Ukraine immediately joins NATO, making future attacks far less likely.

- Donald Trump accepts a deal that sees him barred from holding office. He is never arrested or actually tried for anything.

- Another major announcement on fusion energy is made from a different team, and we start to see a huge increase in fusion funding.