Comment by redbar0n

Here are some predictions on the Russo-Ukranian war, and the growth of App dev / JS frameworks, and modern styling solutions.

Russo-Ukrainian War:

1. Ukraine winter offensive in Jan/Feb of 2023 will successfully drive the Russians back in the south and threaten Crimea (which will fall during the year).

2. But Russia will comeback, and bolster its defense in the east of Ukraine, causing a stalemate there, until the summer of 2023.

3. Russia’s comeback will seem ominous for Ukraine which will be running short of supplies, due to western equipment and ammo production capacity being stretched.

4. Although Russia is also stretched thin, it will still (by the summer) have a larger supply of ammo than Ukraine.

5. We will see the beginning of international calls, and western pressure, for a peace agreement. It will result in a brokered UN administered consensus vote in the Donbass (inhabitants there vote on which nation they want to belong to). (This might be a bit idealistic take, so take with a pinch of salt.)

6. Putin remains in power, in spite of predictions he would be overturned due to the losses in the war.

7. Putin is able to wind down the conflict while saving face by arguing it was only about the russian people in Donbass all along.

8. No nuke or tactical nuke will be used, even though Russia will continue to rattle them to scare the west.

App dev / JS frameworks:

(growth in terms of npm downloads and github stars)

9. React, React Native, SolidJS, Svelte, Vue, Astro and Qwik will all experience enormous growth during the year.

10. Redwood and Remix will struggle to grow as much, but still grow some.

11. Remix will grow more than Redwood. (Not a very spicy take, but still).

12. React and Next.js will still dominate all competitors in absolute terms, and continue to grow,

13. but React Native, Svelte and Qwik will grow much much more (percentage wise).

14. «The year of React Native» on native/crossplatform, and

15. «The year of Qwik» on web, certainly mind share wise, but also growth wise.

Styling:

15. Tamagui will be pretty hyped, mostly in React Native and mobile crossplatform circles, and grow greatly (more than 3x amount of npm downloads and github stars).

16. But will be dwarfed by the meteoric rise of Nativewind. «The year of Nativewind» on native/crossplatform. Which will be fuelled by the fact that

17. TailwindCSS is still dominating amongst modern web styling tools, and will >2x its amount of downloads, and grow around 18% in github stars by year end.