Comment by amai

Belarus will be invaded by Ukraine in a preemtive strike leading to a collapse of the regime there. In addition Russia will loose its grip on many neighbor countries leading to color revolutions in Turkmenistan, Usbekistan, Moldovia etc. This will force Russia to ask for peace in the war with Ukraine loosing all occupied territories.

After many Covid deaths China will see more protests over the year. To stabilize economy Xi Jinping will make some concessions to the people of China. Invasion of Taiwan will not happen in 2023.

The western countries will see a slight recession, because of energy crisis and reduction of business with autoritarian states ( Russia, China, Saudi Arabia ). But ultimatively the bitter medicine of 2022 and 2023 will lead to a strenghthening of the west as it will become less dependent on imports in general and energy imports specifically.

UK will seek to reverse Brexit.