Comment by goolulusaurs
2 years ago
There is a lot of negativity towards the idea of AI in this thread, and I feel like someone has to say it: it is quite likely that in the near future computers will be better than almost all humans at almost all cognitive tasks.
If you have a task or are trying to accomplish something, and the way you do it is by moving a mouse around or typing on a keyboard then it is very likely that an AI will be able to do that task. Doing so is a more or less straightforward extension of existing techniques in AI. All that is necessary is to record you performing the task and then an AI will be able to imitate your behavior. GPT3 can already do this for text, and doing it instead with trajectories of screen, mouse and keyboard is not fundamentally different.
So yes, it is true that there is a lot of hype right now, but I suspect it is a small fraction of what we will see in the near future. I also expect there will be an enormous backlash at some point.
I think this sentiment that this will happen in the "near future" is the cause for exactly the sort of fatigue the author is talking about.
If you mean in the next year or two, I hate to disappoint you, but barring some massive leap forward, you are going to be wrong.
If you mean in the next hundred years, or maybe sometime in our lifetimes, sure. The chances it looks anything like chatGPT or GPT3 now though is laughable.
This isn't the future. This is a small glimpse into a potential future down the line, but everyone is talking like developers/designers/creatives/humans are already obsolete.
> If you have a task or are trying to accomplish something, and the way you do it is by moving a mouse around or typing on a keyboard then it is very likely that an AI will be able to do that task.
You don't need AI to move a mouse around or type on a keyboard. A simple automation is enough.
The value is not in moving a mouse or typing on a keyboard. The value is in knowing when and where to move the mouse and when and what to write on the keyboard.
> GPT3 can already do this for text
Kind of, it isn't fool proof. I use GPT3 and Chat GPT (not the same thing) almost daily, and there is quite a bit of error correction that I am doing. Still, it is really helpful.