Comment by circuit10
3 years ago
It does just predict the next word, yes, but it turns out that predicting the next word is a complex problem that involves solving many types of subproblems that involve relatively complex reasoning, or at least something that looks very, very much like reasoning
Is it any more reasoning than Bayes' theorem is reasoning? It's statistics and derived probability from said statistics.
> Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available.
That is very clearly reasoning
No, it's probability entered into an algorithm as a variable. This is not reasoning, this is probability, and there is no reasoning involved.
Go and program HomeAssistant (FOSS) with an automation using Bayes' theorem. Then proceed to laugh about all the fail states you encounter, thus realizing it is not reasoning, but probability. https://community.home-assistant.io/t/how-bayes-sensors-work...
It's quite literally known as Bayesian probability.
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