Comment by tux3

2 years ago

I suppose if that were the case, you'd want to look for plausible counterfactual historical trends and compare whether those make a better reasoning framework for big ideas

I'm not too convinced by the premise. But if I were, I'd try to look at the counterfactual consequences beyond just acknowlegding the possibility

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tux3

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computerphage  2 years ago

How can you tell whether something is a better reasoning framework for big ideas? Seems like that's the step that does all the work.

  • tux3  2 years ago

    I wish I could say empirically. Simply trial the framework and see if you end up making better choices, better predictions about the world.

    Unfortunately, if rationalism has so far done anything to help people in any sort of measurable empiric way, it's been too slight for anyone to statistically notice.