Comment by polymathemagics
3 years ago
Agree that people should not do active investing, although the solution would be passive investing (index funds), which allow you to focus on friends & family without missing out of the economy's long term gains.
This is a terrible moment for index funds.
Hot take but I'll bite, what's your rationale? We're only ~9% down from VTI's ATH and what happens now doesn't matter when your investing horizon is 15+ years.
This is terrible advice BTW. I got it in 2007, also HN and FT forums convinced me. So I put significant savings in a couple of index funds. I lost 40% within months. Left it there and recovered only after 8 years (and that's not even adjusting for inflation or MM rate). Please be a bit more self-aware. I spent many years in finance and the more I learned, the more I realized how much I don't know.
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- Core inflation not going down
- Recession now undeniably starting (several friends in Tech are losing their jobs in companies doing well)
- Ballooning deficits and debt at every level
- High rates making debt ballooning faster
- USD dominance decreasing
That's known and now not matter of opinion but hard facts. Now, where to invest? I have no idea (and I'm pretty sure traditional investment knowledge doesn't work anymore), so I do money markets and take the hit until I figure something out. Maybe there's a non-hype AI application opportunity somewhere, who knows. Worrying too much makes you do dumb life-altering things. In uncertain times, I chose to invest the time in enjoying life a bit. Wait and see.
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