Comment by solidsnack9000

3 years ago

A report from the FBI on "active shooter incidents" from 2022 indicate between 30 and 70 occur in a year. In 2022, there were 13 that met the Federal criterion for a "mass killing": 3 or more killed.

https://www.fbi.gov/file-repository/active-shooter-incidents...

The reason these statistics are so different from what GVA provides is because the FBI is looking at the kinds of incidents that present a risk to a member of the general public, otherwise going about their business: they exclude self-defense incidents, gang wars, drug deals gone bad, and domestic disputes.

GVA, however, defines any incident with 4 or more injured or killed with a gun as a "mass shooting", which technically includes even some gun range accidents. Many of the incidents they report do not involve any deaths at all. Most of the incidents they report are criminal conflict, not the kind of terrorist attacks people are thinking of when the term "mass shooting" is used. The risk profile of criminal conflict is very different from that of a terrorist attack, generally, since being involved in crime is a significant predisposing factor.

Using GVA statistics to get a sense of one's likelihood of injury from guns in the USA, as a basis for a comparison to natural disasters, greatly overestimates the likelihood of firearms related injury (unless you are a gang member or regularly engage in robbery, burglary, &c).