Comment by acdha
7 months ago
I’m not optimistic on that point: the executive class is very openly salivating at the prospect of mass layoffs, and that means a lot of technical staff aren’t quick to inject some reality – if Gartner is saying it’s rainbows and unicorns, saying they’re exaggerating can be taken as volunteering to be laid off first even if you’re right.
Yeah but what comes after the mass layoffs? Getting hired to clean up the mess that AI eventually creates? Depending on the business it could end up becoming more expensive than if they had never adopted GenAI at all. Think about how many companies hopped on the Big Data Bandwagon when they had nothing even coming close to what "Big Data" actually meant. That wasn't as catastrophic as what AI would do but it still was throwing money in the wrong direction.
I’m sure we’re going to see plenty of that but from the perspective of a person who isn’t rich enough to laugh off unemployment, how does that help? If speaking up got you fired, you won’t get your old job back or compensation for the stress of looking in a bad market. If you stick around, you’re under more pressure to bail out the business from the added stress of those bad calls and you’re far more likely to see retribution than thanks for having disagreed with your CEO: it takes a very rare person to appreciate criticism and the people who don’t aren’t going to get in the situation of making such a huge bet on a fad to begin with – they’d have been more careful to find something it’s actually good for.